Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 74% implied probability as the world No. 1 and reigning hard-court master, fresh off his Shanghai Masters final run where he dismantled Alexander Zverev in the semifinals last week, reinforcing his unmatched pace and serving on the surface suited to the Miami Open. His 2024 triumphs at the Australian Open, Miami itself, and Canadian Open underscore a clear edge in Masters 1000 events, with no major injury concerns boosting his path to repeat success. Zverev's 7.5% reflects steady top-three form despite the recent loss, while Arthur Fils (6.8%) gains from breakout hard-court wins like Shanghai's third round, signaling rising threat. Tommy Paul (6.4%) and Jiri Lehecka (6.3%) benefit from American hard-court pedigree and recent ATP 500 deep runs, positioning them as live longshots amid Sinner's towering lead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 74%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Arthur Fils 6.8%
Tommy Paul 6.7%
$176,696 Vol.
$176,696 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
74%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Arthur Fils
7%
Tommy Paul
7%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Jannik Sinner 74%
Alexander Zverev 7.5%
Arthur Fils 6.8%
Tommy Paul 6.7%
$176,696 Vol.
$176,696 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
74%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Arthur Fils
7%
Tommy Paul
7%
Jiri Lehecka
6%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner dominates trader consensus at 74% implied probability as the world No. 1 and reigning hard-court master, fresh off his Shanghai Masters final run where he dismantled Alexander Zverev in the semifinals last week, reinforcing his unmatched pace and serving on the surface suited to the Miami Open. His 2024 triumphs at the Australian Open, Miami itself, and Canadian Open underscore a clear edge in Masters 1000 events, with no major injury concerns boosting his path to repeat success. Zverev's 7.5% reflects steady top-three form despite the recent loss, while Arthur Fils (6.8%) gains from breakout hard-court wins like Shanghai's third round, signaling rising threat. Tommy Paul (6.4%) and Jiri Lehecka (6.3%) benefit from American hard-court pedigree and recent ATP 500 deep runs, positioning them as live longshots amid Sinner's towering lead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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