Mumbai Indians lead trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title, bolstered by their powerhouse retentions of Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Hardik Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, Tilak Varma, and Ishan Kishan—preserving a championship-caliber core with title-winning pedigree from five trophies. The field remains tightly bunched due to the 2025 mega auction's potential to reshape rosters via massive player pools and remaining purses, enabling rebuilds for teams like Royal Challengers Bengaluru (Virat Kohli anchor) and Chennai Super Kings (Jadeja, Gaikwad experience). Recent IPL 2024 momentum favors no single side long-term, with parity amplified by mini-auction tweaks and emerging talents keeping odds competitive across Gujarat Titans and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMumbai Indians 22%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 16%
Chennai Super Kings 14%
Gujarat Titans 10%
$23,762 Vol.
$23,762 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
22%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
16%
Chennai Super Kings
14%
Gujarat Titans
10%
Punjab Kings
10%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Delhi Capitals
8%
Kolkata Knight Riders
8%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
Mumbai Indians 22%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 16%
Chennai Super Kings 14%
Gujarat Titans 10%
$23,762 Vol.
$23,762 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
22%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
16%
Chennai Super Kings
14%
Gujarat Titans
10%
Punjab Kings
10%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Delhi Capitals
8%
Kolkata Knight Riders
8%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mumbai Indians lead trader consensus at 22.5% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title, bolstered by their powerhouse retentions of Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Hardik Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, Tilak Varma, and Ishan Kishan—preserving a championship-caliber core with title-winning pedigree from five trophies. The field remains tightly bunched due to the 2025 mega auction's potential to reshape rosters via massive player pools and remaining purses, enabling rebuilds for teams like Royal Challengers Bengaluru (Virat Kohli anchor) and Chennai Super Kings (Jadeja, Gaikwad experience). Recent IPL 2024 momentum favors no single side long-term, with parity amplified by mini-auction tweaks and emerging talents keeping odds competitive across Gujarat Titans and beyond.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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