Mumbai Indians lead trader consensus at 23% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title, buoyed by their retention of elite core—Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, and Hardik Pandya—preserving batting firepower and death bowling edge ahead of the November 2025 mega auction. Yet the race stays tight among top contenders like RCB (16%) with Virat Kohli's anchor role and CSK (15%) leveraging MS Dhoni's intangibles and Ravindra Jadeja's all-round prowess, as every franchise enters with massive purses (90-120 Cr) and just 4-6 retentions, enabling auction overhauls that historically spark surprises. Recent finalists SRH (10%) add volatility with retained openers Travis Head and Abhishek Sharma, underscoring how scouting acumen, coaching stability, and uncapped gems could upend legacy advantages in this wide-open cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMumbai Indians 23%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 16%
Chennai Super Kings 15%
Gujarat Titans 10%
$44,662 Vol.
$44,662 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
23%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
16%
Chennai Super Kings
15%
Gujarat Titans
10%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Punjab Kings
9%
Delhi Capitals
8%
Kolkata Knight Riders
8%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
Mumbai Indians 23%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 16%
Chennai Super Kings 15%
Gujarat Titans 10%
$44,662 Vol.
$44,662 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
23%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
16%
Chennai Super Kings
15%
Gujarat Titans
10%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Punjab Kings
9%
Delhi Capitals
8%
Kolkata Knight Riders
8%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mumbai Indians lead trader consensus at 23% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title, buoyed by their retention of elite core—Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, and Hardik Pandya—preserving batting firepower and death bowling edge ahead of the November 2025 mega auction. Yet the race stays tight among top contenders like RCB (16%) with Virat Kohli's anchor role and CSK (15%) leveraging MS Dhoni's intangibles and Ravindra Jadeja's all-round prowess, as every franchise enters with massive purses (90-120 Cr) and just 4-6 retentions, enabling auction overhauls that historically spark surprises. Recent finalists SRH (10%) add volatility with retained openers Travis Head and Abhishek Sharma, underscoring how scouting acumen, coaching stability, and uncapped gems could upend legacy advantages in this wide-open cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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