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¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?

Market icon

¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?

NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,608 Vol.

Polymarket

4500

$2,388 Vol.

99%

4750

$0 Vol.

98%

5000

$0 Vol.

83%

5250

$0 Vol.

81%

5500

$172 Vol.

49%

5750

$0 Vol.

50%

6000

$806 Vol.

22%

6500

$0 Vol.

3%

7000

$242 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) on the final trading day of the first quarter of 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market. If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."The KOSPI index closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, 2026, down 0.40%, reflecting persistent volatility driven by U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and South Korea's heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports for 70% of its needs. Year-to-date gains surpass 25%, fueled by blockbuster earnings from semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix amid surging AI chip demand, with the index rebounding sharply from a record 12% single-day plunge earlier in March on de-escalation hopes. Bank of Korea's steady 2.50% base rate supports risk assets, while bullish year-end forecasts from Morgan Stanley (6,500) and Goldman Sachs (7,000) underscore earnings momentum. With March 31 resolution imminent—just three trading days away—traders eye potential peace talks and oil price swings as pivotal swing factors.

The KOSPI index closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, 2026, down 0.40%, reflecting persistent volatility driven by U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and South Korea's heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports for 70% of its needs. Year-to-date gains surpass 25%, fueled by blockbuster earnings from semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix amid surging AI chip demand, with the index rebounding sharply from a record 12% single-day plunge earlier in March on de-escalation hopes. Bank of Korea's steady 2.50% base rate supports risk assets, while bullish year-end forecasts from Morgan Stanley (6,500) and Goldman Sachs (7,000) underscore earnings momentum. With March 31 resolution imminent—just three trading days away—traders eye potential peace talks and oil price swings as pivotal swing factors.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) on the final trading day of the first quarter of 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. The closing price for the final day of trading on or before this date will be used to resolve this market. If the final trading day of the quarter is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/history/, published under "Historical Data."The KOSPI index closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, 2026, down 0.40%, reflecting persistent volatility driven by U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and South Korea's heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports for 70% of its needs. Year-to-date gains surpass 25%, fueled by blockbuster earnings from semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix amid surging AI chip demand, with the index rebounding sharply from a record 12% single-day plunge earlier in March on de-escalation hopes. Bank of Korea's steady 2.50% base rate supports risk assets, while bullish year-end forecasts from Morgan Stanley (6,500) and Goldman Sachs (7,000) underscore earnings momentum. With March 31 resolution imminent—just three trading days away—traders eye potential peace talks and oil price swings as pivotal swing factors.

The KOSPI index closed at 5,438.87 on March 27, 2026, down 0.40%, reflecting persistent volatility driven by U.S.-Iran geopolitical tensions and South Korea's heavy reliance on Middle East oil imports for 70% of its needs. Year-to-date gains surpass 25%, fueled by blockbuster earnings from semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix amid surging AI chip demand, with the index rebounding sharply from a record 12% single-day plunge earlier in March on de-escalation hopes. Bank of Korea's steady 2.50% base rate supports risk assets, while bullish year-end forecasts from Morgan Stanley (6,500) and Goldman Sachs (7,000) underscore earnings momentum. With March 31 resolution imminent—just three trading days away—traders eye potential peace talks and oil price swings as pivotal swing factors.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "4500" con 99%, seguido de "4750" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?" es "4500" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "4750" con 98%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El KOSPI (KS11) cerrará por encima de __ al final del primer trimestre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.