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Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Market icon
Política·DHS

¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Después del 30 de abril 57.0%

13-16 de abril 12.5%

21-24 de abril 11.9%

17-20 de abril 11.8%

Polymarket

$484,689 Vol.

Después del 30 de abril 57.0%

13-16 de abril 12.5%

21-24 de abril 11.9%

17-20 de abril 11.8%

Polymarket

$484,689 Vol.

Antes del 1 de abril

$31,772 Vol.

1%

1-4 de abril

$2,965 Vol.

2%

5-8 de abril

$2,885 Vol.

2%

9-12 de abril

$2,439 Vol.

2%

13-16 de abril

$8,699 Vol.

13%

17-20 de abril

$387,463 Vol.

12%

21-24 de abril

$37,525 Vol.

12%

25-28 de abril

$2,863 Vol.

2%

29-30 de abril

$2,849 Vol.

2%

Después del 30 de abril

$5,228 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.

A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.

A partisan impasse in Congress over Department of Homeland Security appropriations, centered on disputes regarding ICE and CBP reforms alongside border security funding levels, has positioned "After April 30" as the leading outcome at 57% trader consensus. The partial shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history at over 44 days since mid-February, intensified after House Republicans passed a 60-day stopgap funding bill last week—only for it to stall amid Senate Democrats' objections and House rejection of bipartisan alternatives. Recent TSA pay directives from the White House have eased some worker strains but not resolved core disagreements, with spring break travel disruptions adding pressure yet no deal in sight. Mid-April windows (11-12%) reflect hopes for a continuing resolution, though historical patterns of prolonged lapses in election years bolster expectations for extended delays.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Después del 30 de abril" con 57%, seguido de "13-16 de abril" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" ha generado $484.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" es "Después del 30 de abril" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "13-16 de abril" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuándo terminará el cierre del DHS?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.