Trader consensus on Polymarket prices India's 2026 annual CPI inflation evenly across the 2.25-4.49% range, with 3.75-4.49% at 30%, 2.25-2.99% at 29%, and 4.50%+ at 28%, reflecting balanced bets amid February's uptick to 3.21% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months under the new 2024=100 base—driven by food and housing cost pressures despite benign core dynamics. This recent acceleration from January's 2.75% tempers rate-cut expectations ahead of RBI's 4% target (±2% band), while higher housing/services weights in the revised CPI add upside risk from potential oil volatility. Key differentiators include March CPI data due April 13 and the RBI MPC's April 6-8 meeting, where updated FY27 projections could sway sentiment toward or away from the midpoint.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado4,50%+ 37%
3,75% a 4,49% 29%
2.25% a 2.99% 19%
<0,75% 14%
$57,354 Vol.
$57,354 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
14%
0,75% a 1,49%
4%
1,50% a 2,24%
18%
2.25% a 2.99%
29%
3,00% a 3,74%
9%
3,75% a 4,49%
29%
4,50%+
33%
4,50%+ 37%
3,75% a 4,49% 29%
2.25% a 2.99% 19%
<0,75% 14%
$57,354 Vol.
$57,354 Vol.
12 ene 2027
<0,75%
$632 Vol.
14%
0,75% a 1,49%
$271 Vol.
4%
1,50% a 2,24%
$340 Vol.
18%
2.25% a 2.99%
$22,328 Vol.
29%
3,00% a 3,74%
$375 Vol.
9%
3,75% a 4,49%
$22,735 Vol.
29%
4,50%+
$10,672 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices India's 2026 annual CPI inflation evenly across the 2.25-4.49% range, with 3.75-4.49% at 30%, 2.25-2.99% at 29%, and 4.50%+ at 28%, reflecting balanced bets amid February's uptick to 3.21% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months under the new 2024=100 base—driven by food and housing cost pressures despite benign core dynamics. This recent acceleration from January's 2.75% tempers rate-cut expectations ahead of RBI's 4% target (±2% band), while higher housing/services weights in the revised CPI add upside risk from potential oil volatility. Key differentiators include March CPI data due April 13 and the RBI MPC's April 6-8 meeting, where updated FY27 projections could sway sentiment toward or away from the midpoint.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volumen
$57,354Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices India's 2026 annual CPI inflation evenly across the 2.25-4.49% range, with 3.75-4.49% at 30%, 2.25-2.99% at 29%, and 4.50%+ at 28%, reflecting balanced bets amid February's uptick to 3.21% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months under the new 2024=100 base—driven by food and housing cost pressures despite benign core dynamics. This recent acceleration from January's 2.75% tempers rate-cut expectations ahead of RBI's 4% target (±2% band), while higher housing/services weights in the revised CPI add upside risk from potential oil volatility. Key differentiators include March CPI data due April 13 and the RBI MPC's April 6-8 meeting, where updated FY27 projections could sway sentiment toward or away from the midpoint.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volumen
$57,354Fecha de finalización
12 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices India's 2026 annual CPI inflation evenly across the 2.25-4.49% range, with 3.75-4.49% at 30%, 2.25-2.99% at 29%, and 4.50%+ at 28%, reflecting balanced bets amid February's uptick to 3.21% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months under the new 2024=100 base—driven by food and housing cost pressures despite benign core dynamics. This recent acceleration from January's 2.75% tempers rate-cut expectations ahead of RBI's 4% target (±2% band), while higher housing/services weights in the revised CPI add upside risk from potential oil volatility. Key differentiators include March CPI data due April 13 and the RBI MPC's April 6-8 meeting, where updated FY27 projections could sway sentiment toward or away from the midpoint.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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