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Política·Elecciones En Hungría

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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Política·Elecciones En Hungría

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$78,925 Vol.

12 abr 2026
Polymarket

$78,925 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mi Hazánk

$63,297 Vol.

77%

Market icon

DK

$10,832 Vol.

4%

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MKKP

$4,796 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent late-March polls drive trader sentiment, positioning Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP and Péter Magyar's Tisza Party well above the 5% national list vote threshold required for entry under the mixed-member proportional system, while far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 5-6% in surveys like Publicus and Závecz Research. Tisza leads Fidesz 48-51% to 38-40% in independent polling averages, reflecting opposition consolidation after left-wing parties withdrew support and amid Fidesz scandals, though government polls show a tighter contest. Mi Hazánk's viability remains uncertain near the threshold; final turnout and 106 single-member district results will shape the 199-seat National Assembly composition.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$78,925
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent late-March polls drive trader sentiment, positioning Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP and Péter Magyar's Tisza Party well above the 5% national list vote threshold required for entry under the mixed-member proportional system, while far-right Mi Hazánk hovers at 5-6% in surveys like Publicus and Závecz Research. Tisza leads Fidesz 48-51% to 38-40% in independent polling averages, reflecting opposition consolidation after left-wing parties withdrew support and amid Fidesz scandals, though government polls show a tighter contest. Mi Hazánk's viability remains uncertain near the threshold; final turnout and 106 single-member district results will shape the 199-seat National Assembly composition.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$78,925
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mi Hazánk" con 77%, seguido de "DK" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" ha generado $78.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" es "Mi Hazánk" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "DK" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.