With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent polls reflect a polarized race for the 199-seat parliament under the mixed-member proportional system, pitting incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance against challenger Tisza party led by Péter Magyar. Independent surveys like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Medián (Tisza 58% among decided voters) show Tisza widening its national list lead to 13-23 points, fueled by economic discontent and low public trust in elections as politics tops voter concerns per Gallup. Pro-government polls claim Fidesz-KDNP edges ahead at 50% among certain voters, bolstered by projected wins in 66 of 106 single-member districts. Trader consensus weighs incumbency advantages, rural strongholds, and turnout against opposition momentum, with potential for coalition negotiations post-vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElecciones en Hungría: ¿Fidesz-KDNP gana___escaños?
Elecciones en Hungría: ¿Fidesz-KDNP gana___escaños?
$185,950 Vol.
12 abr 2026
60+
88%
70+
62%
80+
42%
90+
37%
100+
31%
110+
15%
$185,950 Vol.
60+
$822 Vol.
88%
70+
$1,592 Vol.
62%
80+
$110,554 Vol.
42%
90+
$48,323 Vol.
37%
100+
$10,804 Vol.
31%
110+
$13,855 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent polls reflect a polarized race for the 199-seat parliament under the mixed-member proportional system, pitting incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance against challenger Tisza party led by Péter Magyar. Independent surveys like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Medián (Tisza 58% among decided voters) show Tisza widening its national list lead to 13-23 points, fueled by economic discontent and low public trust in elections as politics tops voter concerns per Gallup. Pro-government polls claim Fidesz-KDNP edges ahead at 50% among certain voters, bolstered by projected wins in 66 of 106 single-member districts. Trader consensus weighs incumbency advantages, rural strongholds, and turnout against opposition momentum, with potential for coalition negotiations post-vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volumen
$185,950Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent polls reflect a polarized race for the 199-seat parliament under the mixed-member proportional system, pitting incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance against challenger Tisza party led by Péter Magyar. Independent surveys like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Medián (Tisza 58% among decided voters) show Tisza widening its national list lead to 13-23 points, fueled by economic discontent and low public trust in elections as politics tops voter concerns per Gallup. Pro-government polls claim Fidesz-KDNP edges ahead at 50% among certain voters, bolstered by projected wins in 66 of 106 single-member districts. Trader consensus weighs incumbency advantages, rural strongholds, and turnout against opposition momentum, with potential for coalition negotiations post-vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$185,950Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election eight days away on April 12, recent polls reflect a polarized race for the 199-seat parliament under the mixed-member proportional system, pitting incumbent Fidesz-KDNP alliance against challenger Tisza party led by Péter Magyar. Independent surveys like Závecz Research (Tisza 51%, Fidesz-KDNP 38%) and Medián (Tisza 58% among decided voters) show Tisza widening its national list lead to 13-23 points, fueled by economic discontent and low public trust in elections as politics tops voter concerns per Gallup. Pro-government polls claim Fidesz-KDNP edges ahead at 50% among certain voters, bolstered by projected wins in 66 of 106 single-member districts. Trader consensus weighs incumbency advantages, rural strongholds, and turnout against opposition momentum, with potential for coalition negotiations post-vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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