Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, including rocket barrages, drone strikes on bases like Ramat David and Haifa, and ambushes claiming Israeli tanks in southern Lebanon, retaliating for Israeli airstrikes on Iran and subsequent ground incursions. Israel intensified operations March 26-27 with airstrikes on Beirut suburbs and mortar exchanges wounding soldiers near Kiryat Shmona, while planning a southern Lebanon buffer zone amid over one million displaced. Hezbollah's leader rejected talks under fire on March 25, vowing unlimited resistance, with no ceasefire signals and risks of further escalation from ongoing border clashes and troop buildups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$544,458 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 22
94%
March 27
97%
March 28
73%
March 29
87%
March 30
91%
March 31
90%
$544,458 Vol.
March 22
$479,544 Vol.
94%
March 27
$21,661 Vol.
97%
March 28
$9,060 Vol.
73%
March 29
$2,721 Vol.
87%
March 30
$1,894 Vol.
91%
March 31
$836 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, including rocket barrages, drone strikes on bases like Ramat David and Haifa, and ambushes claiming Israeli tanks in southern Lebanon, retaliating for Israeli airstrikes on Iran and subsequent ground incursions. Israel intensified operations March 26-27 with airstrikes on Beirut suburbs and mortar exchanges wounding soldiers near Kiryat Shmona, while planning a southern Lebanon buffer zone amid over one million displaced. Hezbollah's leader rejected talks under fire on March 25, vowing unlimited resistance, with no ceasefire signals and risks of further escalation from ongoing border clashes and troop buildups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volumen
$544,458Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, including rocket barrages, drone strikes on bases like Ramat David and Haifa, and ambushes claiming Israeli tanks in southern Lebanon, retaliating for Israeli airstrikes on Iran and subsequent ground incursions. Israel intensified operations March 26-27 with airstrikes on Beirut suburbs and mortar exchanges wounding soldiers near Kiryat Shmona, while planning a southern Lebanon buffer zone amid over one million displaced. Hezbollah's leader rejected talks under fire on March 25, vowing unlimited resistance, with no ceasefire signals and risks of further escalation from ongoing border clashes and troop buildups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$544,458Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, including rocket barrages, drone strikes on bases like Ramat David and Haifa, and ambushes claiming Israeli tanks in southern Lebanon, retaliating for Israeli airstrikes on Iran and subsequent ground incursions. Israel intensified operations March 26-27 with airstrikes on Beirut suburbs and mortar exchanges wounding soldiers near Kiryat Shmona, while planning a southern Lebanon buffer zone amid over one million displaced. Hezbollah's leader rejected talks under fire on March 25, vowing unlimited resistance, with no ceasefire signals and risks of further escalation from ongoing border clashes and troop buildups.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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