Israel's commanding 33% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 2024 public vote haul of 323 points, the contest's highest, showcasing unmatched diaspora mobilization and performance resilience amid controversy. Greece trails at 18.5% buoyed by Balkan voting alliances and pop sensibilities akin to recent strong showings, while Finland's 11% reflects lingering buzz from Käärijä's 2024 televote surge. Lower-tier contenders like Denmark and France hinge on national selection reveals and host-nation boosts—still pending post-2025 results—highlighting the market's wide-open volatility in this pre-entry phase, where trader consensus prizes historical televote patterns over unconfirmed artist rumors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 33%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
Denmark 7.3%
$1,875,303 Vol.
$1,875,303 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Moldova
4%

Cyprus
3%

Sweden
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Germany
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Greece 19%
Finland 11%
Denmark 7.3%
$1,875,303 Vol.
$1,875,303 Vol.

Israel
33%

Greece
19%

Finland
11%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Moldova
4%

Cyprus
3%

Sweden
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Poland
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Luxembourg
1%

Germany
1%

Estonia
1%

Croatia
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 33% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote frontrunner stems from its dominant 2024 public vote haul of 323 points, the contest's highest, showcasing unmatched diaspora mobilization and performance resilience amid controversy. Greece trails at 18.5% buoyed by Balkan voting alliances and pop sensibilities akin to recent strong showings, while Finland's 11% reflects lingering buzz from Käärijä's 2024 televote surge. Lower-tier contenders like Denmark and France hinge on national selection reveals and host-nation boosts—still pending post-2025 results—highlighting the market's wide-open volatility in this pre-entry phase, where trader consensus prizes historical televote patterns over unconfirmed artist rumors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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