Tarik Skubal's status as the reigning AL Cy Young winner anchors trader consensus at 25%, but Dylan Cease's strikeout dominance and George Kirby's pinpoint control keep odds within 1.7 points, signaling deep parity in a loaded AL pitching field. Skubal's workload concerns after a career-high 196 innings in 2025, paired with Cease's free agency drawing AL suitors like the Yankees and Kirby's extension with Seattle's rotation depth, fuel the bunching. Emerging arms like Garrett Crochet and Bryan Woo add volatility, as team context—playoff pushes for Orioles, Astros, Royals—often sways voters amid similar sub-3.20 ERAs and 200-plus strikeouts projected across the board.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
7%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suárez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo López
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
5%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
7%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suárez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo López
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal's status as the reigning AL Cy Young winner anchors trader consensus at 25%, but Dylan Cease's strikeout dominance and George Kirby's pinpoint control keep odds within 1.7 points, signaling deep parity in a loaded AL pitching field. Skubal's workload concerns after a career-high 196 innings in 2025, paired with Cease's free agency drawing AL suitors like the Yankees and Kirby's extension with Seattle's rotation depth, fuel the bunching. Emerging arms like Garrett Crochet and Bryan Woo add volatility, as team context—playoff pushes for Orioles, Astros, Royals—often sways voters amid similar sub-3.20 ERAs and 200-plus strikeouts projected across the board.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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