Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 25.5% implied probability on the back of a 59-goal season with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title, though the club’s Champions League exit has tempered momentum. Ousmane Dembélé sits at 18.9% after strong knockout contributions that helped PSG reach the final, positioning the 2025 winner for a possible repeat. Lamine Yamal (11.0%) and Declan Rice (10.5%) remain competitive through exceptional club form at Barcelona and Arsenal, respectively, while Kylian Mbappé (9.0%) and Vitinha (7.9%) stay in contention via consistent output. The narrow spread among the top six reflects a season without a single dominant performer, with club silverware, individual tallies, and upcoming international fixtures all still able to shift the final voter consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador delBalón de Oro 2026
Harry Kane 25.5%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%
Lamine Yamal 11%
Declan Rice 10.5%
$3,476,107 Vol.
$3,476,107 Vol.
Harry Kane
26%
Ousmane Dembélé
19%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Declan Rice
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Vitinha
8%
Michael Olise
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Lautaro Martínez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 25.5%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.9%
Lamine Yamal 11%
Declan Rice 10.5%
$3,476,107 Vol.
$3,476,107 Vol.
Harry Kane
26%
Ousmane Dembélé
19%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Declan Rice
11%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Vitinha
8%
Michael Olise
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Lautaro Martínez
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 25.5% implied probability on the back of a 59-goal season with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title, though the club’s Champions League exit has tempered momentum. Ousmane Dembélé sits at 18.9% after strong knockout contributions that helped PSG reach the final, positioning the 2025 winner for a possible repeat. Lamine Yamal (11.0%) and Declan Rice (10.5%) remain competitive through exceptional club form at Barcelona and Arsenal, respectively, while Kylian Mbappé (9.0%) and Vitinha (7.9%) stay in contention via consistent output. The narrow spread among the top six reflects a season without a single dominant performer, with club silverware, individual tallies, and upcoming international fixtures all still able to shift the final voter consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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