Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, with 100% implied probability, following the fintech capital markets platform's complete withdrawal of its S-1 filing on February 19 amid volatile market conditions exacerbated by AI sector fears and investor pushback on valuation. After filing in January targeting up to $12 billion and slashing the deal size by 65% to $351 million, Clear Street cited unfavorable listings environment, postponing then scrapping plans without refiling or roadshow signals since. This reflects broader fintech IPO hesitancy, but a sudden market rebound, regulatory clarity, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise relaunch, though traders see slim odds absent fresh announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNo saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026 100.0%
$11.0B–$11.5B <1%
12,0 mil millones+ <1%
<9,0B <1%
$53,596 Vol.
$53,596 Vol.
Feb 13, 2026
<9,0B
<1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones
<1%
9,5B–10,0B
<1%
10.0 mil millones–10.5 mil millones
<1%
10.5B–11.0B
<1%
$11.0B–$11.5B
<1%
$11.5 mil millones–$12.0 mil millones
<1%
12,0 mil millones+
<1%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026
100%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026 100.0%
$11.0B–$11.5B <1%
12,0 mil millones+ <1%
<9,0B <1%
$53,596 Vol.
$53,596 Vol.
Feb 13, 2026
<9,0B
$0 Vol.
<1%
9,0 mil millones–9,5 mil millones
$5,136 Vol.
<1%
9,5B–10,0B
$0 Vol.
<1%
10.0 mil millones–10.5 mil millones
$0 Vol.
<1%
10.5B–11.0B
$5,071 Vol.
<1%
$11.0B–$11.5B
$4,410 Vol.
<1%
$11.5 mil millones–$12.0 mil millones
$4,445 Vol.
<1%
12,0 mil millones+
$4,946 Vol.
<1%
No saldrá a bolsa antes de abril de 2026
$29,588 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Clear Street Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, with 100% implied probability, following the fintech capital markets platform's complete withdrawal of its S-1 filing on February 19 amid volatile market conditions exacerbated by AI sector fears and investor pushback on valuation. After filing in January targeting up to $12 billion and slashing the deal size by 65% to $351 million, Clear Street cited unfavorable listings environment, postponing then scrapping plans without refiling or roadshow signals since. This reflects broader fintech IPO hesitancy, but a sudden market rebound, regulatory clarity, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise relaunch, though traders see slim odds absent fresh announcements.
This market will resolve based on Clear Street Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volumen
$53,596Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Clear Street Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, with 100% implied probability, following the fintech capital markets platform's complete withdrawal of its S-1 filing on February 19 amid volatile market conditions exacerbated by AI sector fears and investor pushback on valuation. After filing in January targeting up to $12 billion and slashing the deal size by 65% to $351 million, Clear Street cited unfavorable listings environment, postponing then scrapping plans without refiling or roadshow signals since. This reflects broader fintech IPO hesitancy, but a sudden market rebound, regulatory clarity, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise relaunch, though traders see slim odds absent fresh announcements.
This market will resolve based on Clear Street Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$53,596Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Clear Street Group IPO before April 2026, with 100% implied probability, following the fintech capital markets platform's complete withdrawal of its S-1 filing on February 19 amid volatile market conditions exacerbated by AI sector fears and investor pushback on valuation. After filing in January targeting up to $12 billion and slashing the deal size by 65% to $351 million, Clear Street cited unfavorable listings environment, postponing then scrapping plans without refiling or roadshow signals since. This reflects broader fintech IPO hesitancy, but a sudden market rebound, regulatory clarity, or strategic pivot could prompt a surprise relaunch, though traders see slim odds absent fresh announcements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes