Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting balanced risks after February's annual CPI edged up to 2.0%—within the 1%-3% target but signaling stickiness amid Iran tensions fueling inflation fears and a rising fiscal deficit projected near 5% of GDP. The 33% odds on a rate decrease stem from the bank's dovish January 2026 cut to 4% and robust 5.2% growth forecast, while 28.5% for an increase highlights geopolitical premiums and Finance Minister Smotrich's criticism of the February hold. Markets await the March 30 decision, polled to hold steady, as a key sentiment gauge ahead of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?
Sin cambios 49%
Disminución 33%
Aumento 26.9%
Disminución
33%
Sin cambios
47%
Aumento
27%
Sin cambios 49%
Disminución 33%
Aumento 26.9%
Disminución
33%
Sin cambios
47%
Aumento
27%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting balanced risks after February's annual CPI edged up to 2.0%—within the 1%-3% target but signaling stickiness amid Iran tensions fueling inflation fears and a rising fiscal deficit projected near 5% of GDP. The 33% odds on a rate decrease stem from the bank's dovish January 2026 cut to 4% and robust 5.2% growth forecast, while 28.5% for an increase highlights geopolitical premiums and Finance Minister Smotrich's criticism of the February hold. Markets await the March 30 decision, polled to hold steady, as a key sentiment gauge ahead of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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