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Economía·Tasa De Interés

¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?

Market icon
Economía·Tasa De Interés

¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?

Mar 30

May 25

Mar 30

May 25

Sin cambios 49%

Disminución 32%

Aumento 22.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Sin cambios 49%

Disminución 32%

Aumento 22.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Disminución

$0 Vol.

32%

Sin cambios

$8,291 Vol.

46%

Aumento

$428 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts marginally toward no change in the Bank of Israel's benchmark interest rate at 4.50%, with a 50.5% implied probability reflecting balanced risks amid Israel's economic challenges. The April 8 decision to hold rates steady followed March CPI data showing headline inflation at 3.2% year-over-year—above the 1-3% target—offset by war-related GDP contraction estimated at 20% annualized in Q1 and rising unemployment. Shekel volatility and geopolitical tensions have kept hike odds viable at 25.1%, while recession fears support a 31.5% chance of a cut. The May 29 Monetary Committee meeting looms as the key catalyst, with fresh April CPI due May 15 potentially tipping sentiment.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 46%, seguido de "Disminución" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?" es "Sin cambios" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Disminución" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de Israel en mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.