The South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate steady at 6.75% on March 26, 2026, unanimously citing February headline CPI of 3.0% aligning with the 3% target but flagging upside inflation risks from Middle East conflict-driven oil shocks and rand depreciation to around 17.1 USD/ZAR. Polymarket traders price no-change at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting baseline Quarterly Projection Model forecasts of inflation averaging 3.7% in 2026 and GDP growth at 1.4%, with policy unchanged longer-term. A 29.5% hike odds captures MPC scenarios requiring increases if oil tops $100/barrel and rand weakens further, while 17.0% cut probability underscores limited disinflation amid modest growth. Watch May 28 MPC and Q1 CPI for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin cambios 55%
Aumento 33%
Disminución 17%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Disminución
17%
Sin cambios
57%
Aumento
30%
Sin cambios 55%
Aumento 33%
Disminución 17%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Disminución
$814 Vol.
17%
Sin cambios
$1,277 Vol.
57%
Aumento
$787 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate steady at 6.75% on March 26, 2026, unanimously citing February headline CPI of 3.0% aligning with the 3% target but flagging upside inflation risks from Middle East conflict-driven oil shocks and rand depreciation to around 17.1 USD/ZAR. Polymarket traders price no-change at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting baseline Quarterly Projection Model forecasts of inflation averaging 3.7% in 2026 and GDP growth at 1.4%, with policy unchanged longer-term. A 29.5% hike odds captures MPC scenarios requiring increases if oil tops $100/barrel and rand weakens further, while 17.0% cut probability underscores limited disinflation amid modest growth. Watch May 28 MPC and Q1 CPI for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,878Fecha de finalización
May 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate steady at 6.75% on March 26, 2026, unanimously citing February headline CPI of 3.0% aligning with the 3% target but flagging upside inflation risks from Middle East conflict-driven oil shocks and rand depreciation to around 17.1 USD/ZAR. Polymarket traders price no-change at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting baseline Quarterly Projection Model forecasts of inflation averaging 3.7% in 2026 and GDP growth at 1.4%, with policy unchanged longer-term. A 29.5% hike odds captures MPC scenarios requiring increases if oil tops $100/barrel and rand weakens further, while 17.0% cut probability underscores limited disinflation amid modest growth. Watch May 28 MPC and Q1 CPI for shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$2,878Fecha de finalización
May 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee held the repo rate steady at 6.75% on March 26, 2026, unanimously citing February headline CPI of 3.0% aligning with the 3% target but flagging upside inflation risks from Middle East conflict-driven oil shocks and rand depreciation to around 17.1 USD/ZAR. Polymarket traders price no-change at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting baseline Quarterly Projection Model forecasts of inflation averaging 3.7% in 2026 and GDP growth at 1.4%, with policy unchanged longer-term. A 29.5% hike odds captures MPC scenarios requiring increases if oil tops $100/barrel and rand weakens further, while 17.0% cut probability underscores limited disinflation amid modest growth. Watch May 28 MPC and Q1 CPI for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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