A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026, at a depth of 229.5 km—the strongest event worldwide this year and the catalyst resetting "another 7.0 or above" markets. This deep subduction zone quake in the Pacific Ring of Fire follows a February 22 M7.0 off Malaysia, with no intervening M7+ events amid a relatively quiet start to 2026 compared to historical norms of 15-20 annually. Trader consensus reflects USGS-verified data, where probabilities hinge on global seismic patterns rather than predictable triggers; short-term markets (e.g., by March 31) face low odds given just days remaining, while longer horizons incorporate steady Ring of Fire volatility. Continuous monitoring via USGS feeds could prompt rapid shifts on aftershocks or revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
NEW
$15,629 Vol.
May 31, 2026
31 de marzo
14%
30 de abril
53%
31 de mayo
88%
$15,629 Vol.
31 de marzo
$6,129 Vol.
14%
30 de abril
$6,515 Vol.
53%
31 de mayo
$2,985 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026, at a depth of 229.5 km—the strongest event worldwide this year and the catalyst resetting "another 7.0 or above" markets. This deep subduction zone quake in the Pacific Ring of Fire follows a February 22 M7.0 off Malaysia, with no intervening M7+ events amid a relatively quiet start to 2026 compared to historical norms of 15-20 annually. Trader consensus reflects USGS-verified data, where probabilities hinge on global seismic patterns rather than predictable triggers; short-term markets (e.g., by March 31) face low odds given just days remaining, while longer horizons incorporate steady Ring of Fire volatility. Continuous monitoring via USGS feeds could prompt rapid shifts on aftershocks or revisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volumen
$15,629Fecha de finalización
May 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026, at a depth of 229.5 km—the strongest event worldwide this year and the catalyst resetting "another 7.0 or above" markets. This deep subduction zone quake in the Pacific Ring of Fire follows a February 22 M7.0 off Malaysia, with no intervening M7+ events amid a relatively quiet start to 2026 compared to historical norms of 15-20 annually. Trader consensus reflects USGS-verified data, where probabilities hinge on global seismic patterns rather than predictable triggers; short-term markets (e.g., by March 31) face low odds given just days remaining, while longer horizons incorporate steady Ring of Fire volatility. Continuous monitoring via USGS feeds could prompt rapid shifts on aftershocks or revisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$15,629Fecha de finalización
May 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck 166 km west of Neiafu, Tonga, on March 24, 2026, at a depth of 229.5 km—the strongest event worldwide this year and the catalyst resetting "another 7.0 or above" markets. This deep subduction zone quake in the Pacific Ring of Fire follows a February 22 M7.0 off Malaysia, with no intervening M7+ events amid a relatively quiet start to 2026 compared to historical norms of 15-20 annually. Trader consensus reflects USGS-verified data, where probabilities hinge on global seismic patterns rather than predictable triggers; short-term markets (e.g., by March 31) face low odds given just days remaining, while longer horizons incorporate steady Ring of Fire volatility. Continuous monitoring via USGS feeds could prompt rapid shifts on aftershocks or revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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