Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 23, reflecting optimism around accelerating AI integration in iOS 18 and robust iPhone 16 upgrade demand amid services revenue hitting $25 billion last quarter. Current spot price hovers near $228, up 2% weekly on China sales rebound data from supplier reports, though tempered by U.S. antitrust scrutiny and softening PC demand. Key risks include February 27 earnings preview whispers and March FOMC dot plot signaling fewer rate cuts, potentially pressuring tech multiples; watch 50-day SMA at $225 as support for intraday swings toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$240
99%
$245
68%
$250
44%
$255
7%
$260
3%
$1,019 Vol.
$240
99%
$245
68%
$250
44%
$255
7%
$260
3%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple Inc. (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $230 on March 23, reflecting optimism around accelerating AI integration in iOS 18 and robust iPhone 16 upgrade demand amid services revenue hitting $25 billion last quarter. Current spot price hovers near $228, up 2% weekly on China sales rebound data from supplier reports, though tempered by U.S. antitrust scrutiny and softening PC demand. Key risks include February 27 earnings preview whispers and March FOMC dot plot signaling fewer rate cuts, potentially pressuring tech multiples; watch 50-day SMA at $225 as support for intraday swings toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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