Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for Tesla's (TSLA) week-ending March 23 close, with a 32.5% implied probability of dipping below $360 amid softening EV demand and elevated interest rates pressuring growth stocks. The wide dispersion—13.5% odds each for $365-$370 and $370-$375 bands, tapering to 15% above $405—stems primarily from pending Q1 production and delivery figures due early April, where beats above 500,000 units could propel shares toward $390+ on FSD optimism, while misses exacerbate margin concerns from China weakness and Cybertruck ramp-up costs. Broader Nasdaq rotation and post-FOMC yield spikes add volatility, positioning sub-$360 as trader consensus downside amid real capital at stake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado<$360 32%
>$405 15%
$365-$370 14%
$370-$375 14%
<$360
32%
$360-$365
12%
$365-$370
14%
$370-$375
14%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
12%
$385-$390
11%
$390-$395
10%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
8%
>$405
15%
<$360 32%
>$405 15%
$365-$370 14%
$370-$375 14%
<$360
32%
$360-$365
12%
$365-$370
14%
$370-$375
14%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
12%
$385-$390
11%
$390-$395
10%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
8%
>$405
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty for Tesla's (TSLA) week-ending March 23 close, with a 32.5% implied probability of dipping below $360 amid softening EV demand and elevated interest rates pressuring growth stocks. The wide dispersion—13.5% odds each for $365-$370 and $370-$375 bands, tapering to 15% above $405—stems primarily from pending Q1 production and delivery figures due early April, where beats above 500,000 units could propel shares toward $390+ on FSD optimism, while misses exacerbate margin concerns from China weakness and Cybertruck ramp-up costs. Broader Nasdaq rotation and post-FOMC yield spikes add volatility, positioning sub-$360 as trader consensus downside amid real capital at stake.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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