Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing the week of March 23 above $225, driven by sustained tech sector momentum from Apple Intelligence AI features boosting iPhone upgrade cycles and resilient China sales amid easing restrictions. AAPL trades at $227.50 intraday, up 1.2% week-to-date, buoyed by Nasdaq's record highs and soft inflation prints supporting rate cut bets. Critical catalysts include the March 19 FOMC dot plot—hawkish signals could trigger 2-3% pullbacks in growth stocks—and DOJ antitrust trial updates, with historical precedent showing AAPL's 65% win rate in similar post-Fed weeks. Volatility implied at 25% underscores binary resolution risks on Friday's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$220
96%
$225
90%
$230
90%
$235
93%
$240
81%
$245
66%
$250
45%
$255
26%
$260
14%
$265
9%
$270
7%
$275
11%
$280
14%
$336 Vol.
$220
96%
$225
90%
$230
90%
$235
93%
$240
81%
$245
66%
$250
45%
$255
26%
$260
14%
$265
9%
$270
7%
$275
11%
$280
14%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing the week of March 23 above $225, driven by sustained tech sector momentum from Apple Intelligence AI features boosting iPhone upgrade cycles and resilient China sales amid easing restrictions. AAPL trades at $227.50 intraday, up 1.2% week-to-date, buoyed by Nasdaq's record highs and soft inflation prints supporting rate cut bets. Critical catalysts include the March 19 FOMC dot plot—hawkish signals could trigger 2-3% pullbacks in growth stocks—and DOJ antitrust trial updates, with historical precedent showing AAPL's 65% win rate in similar post-Fed weeks. Volatility implied at 25% underscores binary resolution risks on Friday's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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