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Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

Market icon
Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$71,500 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$71,500 Vol.

Polymarket

>$7,100

$1,920 Vol.

1%

>$7,000

$1,804 Vol.

3%

>$6,900

$11,972 Vol.

1%

>$6,800

$1,555 Vol.

1%

>$6,700

$11,499 Vol.

5%

>$6,600

$25,690 Vol.

12%

>$6,500

$17,060 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 has retreated over 3% this week to close at 6,369 on March 27, reflecting trader concerns over escalating Middle East tensions—particularly Iran-related developments—that have driven oil prices higher and fueled inflation fears. This pullback follows the Federal Reserve's March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing progress toward 2% inflation evidenced by February's core CPI rise of 2.5% year-over-year, while projecting unemployment at 4.4% by Q4 2026. With the March 31 quarterly close imminent and no major economic releases scheduled through weekend, Polymarket traders are pricing end-month positioning amid elevated VIX levels and geopolitical risks, positioning the index near key support around 6,300.

The S&P 500 has retreated over 3% this week to close at 6,369 on March 27, reflecting trader concerns over escalating Middle East tensions—particularly Iran-related developments—that have driven oil prices higher and fueled inflation fears. This pullback follows the Federal Reserve's March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing progress toward 2% inflation evidenced by February's core CPI rise of 2.5% year-over-year, while projecting unemployment at 4.4% by Q4 2026. With the March 31 quarterly close imminent and no major economic releases scheduled through weekend, Polymarket traders are pricing end-month positioning amid elevated VIX levels and geopolitical risks, positioning the index near key support around 6,300.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 has retreated over 3% this week to close at 6,369 on March 27, reflecting trader concerns over escalating Middle East tensions—particularly Iran-related developments—that have driven oil prices higher and fueled inflation fears. This pullback follows the Federal Reserve's March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing progress toward 2% inflation evidenced by February's core CPI rise of 2.5% year-over-year, while projecting unemployment at 4.4% by Q4 2026. With the March 31 quarterly close imminent and no major economic releases scheduled through weekend, Polymarket traders are pricing end-month positioning amid elevated VIX levels and geopolitical risks, positioning the index near key support around 6,300.

The S&P 500 has retreated over 3% this week to close at 6,369 on March 27, reflecting trader concerns over escalating Middle East tensions—particularly Iran-related developments—that have driven oil prices higher and fueled inflation fears. This pullback follows the Federal Reserve's March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing progress toward 2% inflation evidenced by February's core CPI rise of 2.5% year-over-year, while projecting unemployment at 4.4% by Q4 2026. With the March 31 quarterly close imminent and no major economic releases scheduled through weekend, Polymarket traders are pricing end-month positioning amid elevated VIX levels and geopolitical risks, positioning the index near key support around 6,300.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$6,500" con 29%, seguido de ">$6,600" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 29¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" ha generado $71.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es ">$6,500" con 29%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">$6,600" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.