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Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

Market icon
Finanzas·Recompensas Financieras 300

¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$71,192 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$71,192 Vol.

Polymarket

>$7,100

$1,920 Vol.

1%

>$7,000

$1,804 Vol.

2%

>$6,900

$11,927 Vol.

3%

>$6,800

$1,555 Vol.

1%

>$6,700

$11,488 Vol.

4%

>$6,600

$25,488 Vol.

9%

>$6,500

$17,010 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 5,800 amid resilient U.S. economic data and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts, with February CPI inflation easing to 2.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding steady at 4.0%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing elevated implied probabilities for year-end index levels driven by tech sector strength—Nvidia and other AI leaders posting blowout earnings—and robust consumer spending. Key swing factors include upcoming March nonfarm payrolls on April 5 and the Fed's March 19–20 FOMC meeting minutes, where dot plot revisions could recalibrate rate cut expectations from three to two in 2025. March seasonality historically delivers average gains of 1.2%, though rising Treasury yields near 4.4% signal caution on valuations entering quarter-end rebalancing.

The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 5,800 amid resilient U.S. economic data and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts, with February CPI inflation easing to 2.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding steady at 4.0%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing elevated implied probabilities for year-end index levels driven by tech sector strength—Nvidia and other AI leaders posting blowout earnings—and robust consumer spending. Key swing factors include upcoming March nonfarm payrolls on April 5 and the Fed's March 19–20 FOMC meeting minutes, where dot plot revisions could recalibrate rate cut expectations from three to two in 2025. March seasonality historically delivers average gains of 1.2%, though rising Treasury yields near 4.4% signal caution on valuations entering quarter-end rebalancing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 5,800 amid resilient U.S. economic data and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts, with February CPI inflation easing to 2.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding steady at 4.0%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing elevated implied probabilities for year-end index levels driven by tech sector strength—Nvidia and other AI leaders posting blowout earnings—and robust consumer spending. Key swing factors include upcoming March nonfarm payrolls on April 5 and the Fed's March 19–20 FOMC meeting minutes, where dot plot revisions could recalibrate rate cut expectations from three to two in 2025. March seasonality historically delivers average gains of 1.2%, though rising Treasury yields near 4.4% signal caution on valuations entering quarter-end rebalancing.

The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 5,800 amid resilient U.S. economic data and optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts, with February CPI inflation easing to 2.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding steady at 4.0%. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing elevated implied probabilities for year-end index levels driven by tech sector strength—Nvidia and other AI leaders posting blowout earnings—and robust consumer spending. Key swing factors include upcoming March nonfarm payrolls on April 5 and the Fed's March 19–20 FOMC meeting minutes, where dot plot revisions could recalibrate rate cut expectations from three to two in 2025. March seasonality historically delivers average gains of 1.2%, though rising Treasury yields near 4.4% signal caution on valuations entering quarter-end rebalancing.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$6,500" con 25%, seguido de ">$6,600" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" ha generado $71.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es ">$6,500" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">$6,600" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿S&P 500 (SPX) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.