Trader consensus on Polymarket centers NVDA's week-of-March-23 close in the $170-$175 bin at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by $175-$180 at 18%, signaling tight competition among upper-mid price levels amid AI chip demand resilience and macro headwinds. Recent Q4 earnings delivered 94% revenue growth to $39.3 billion, fueling optimism, yet valuation at 45x forward P/E draws caution versus peers like AMD's MI300X gains. FOMC's March 19 decision and March 12 CPI release loom as catalysts, with historical post-earnings weeks averaging 2.5% swings; upside above $180 hinges on hyperscaler capex beats, while sub-$165 risks escalate on rate surprises or export curbs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$170-$175 26%
$175-$180 18%
$165-$170 15%
$180-$185 15%
< $155
11%
$155-$160
9%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
15%
$170-$175
26%
$175-$180
18%
$180-$185
15%
$185-$190
10%
$190-$195
8%
$195-$200
8%
>$200
8%
$170-$175 26%
$175-$180 18%
$165-$170 15%
$180-$185 15%
< $155
11%
$155-$160
9%
$160-$165
11%
$165-$170
15%
$170-$175
26%
$175-$180
18%
$180-$185
15%
$185-$190
10%
$190-$195
8%
$195-$200
8%
>$200
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers NVDA's week-of-March-23 close in the $170-$175 bin at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by $175-$180 at 18%, signaling tight competition among upper-mid price levels amid AI chip demand resilience and macro headwinds. Recent Q4 earnings delivered 94% revenue growth to $39.3 billion, fueling optimism, yet valuation at 45x forward P/E draws caution versus peers like AMD's MI300X gains. FOMC's March 19 decision and March 12 CPI release loom as catalysts, with historical post-earnings weeks averaging 2.5% swings; upside above $180 hinges on hyperscaler capex beats, while sub-$165 risks escalate on rate surprises or export curbs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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