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Politik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?

Market icon
Politik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?

$12,695,416 Vol.

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$12,695,416 Vol.

Polymarket

31. März 2026

$6,110,728 Vol.

<1%

30. April 2026

$4,916,979 Vol.

3%

31. Mai

$678,867 Vol.

75%

30. Juni

$439,620 Vol.

77%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

President-elect Donald Trump has not announced plans for a visit to China ahead of his January 20, 2025 inauguration, with recent focus on U.S. domestic transition priorities like cabinet nominations and policy planning. A November 15 phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed trade tensions, fentanyl flows, and Taiwan but yielded no public commitments to in-person meetings. Trump's proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports and warnings against Taiwan independence signal hawkish foreign policy, reducing near-term visit likelihood. Traders monitor transition schedules and potential early executive actions; historical precedent shows Trump's first-term initial trips prioritized allies like Saudi Arabia over adversaries. Upcoming diplomatic announcements or summits could shift dynamics.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30. Juni" mit 77%, gefolgt von „31. Mai" mit 75%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 19, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?" ist „30. Juni" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. Mai" mit 75%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird Trump China bis zum... besuchen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.