Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$493M Vol.

$3M today

$68M Liq.

1,604

Ends in 11 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

93%

250-500k

$12M Vol.

$211K today

$134K Liq.

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

92%

<$100b

$8M Vol.

$96.6K today

$204K Liq.

465

Ends in 10 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

5%

$17M Vol.

$90.9K today

$767K Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 1 month

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

27%

$5M Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

316

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump visit China by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

89%

April 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

42

Ends in 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

12%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

1,198

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

31%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

390

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

2%

$1M Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

40

Ends in 10 days

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$150K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

3%

$753K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

24

Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

14%

$451K Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
Trump Presidency·Trump

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$309K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

48

Ends in 11 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

1%

$193K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 days

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

59%

No meeting by June 30

$566K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

12

Ends in 4 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

2%

$194K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 days

US x Russia military clash by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

5%

December 31, 2026

$569K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$364K Vol.

$79.7K Liq.

19

Ends in 11 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$531K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

25

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump endorse?
Trump Presidency·Politics

Who will Trump endorse?

66%

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov

$120K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Trump Presidency.

Polymarket currently hosts 29 active markets for Trump Presidency that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $556.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Presidency predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.