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Geopolitik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?

Market icon
Geopolitik·Trump-Präsidentschaft

Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?

$14,120,648 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,120,648 Vol.

Polymarket

31. März

$2,817,234 Vol.

<1%

31. Dezember

$170,532 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on charges including narco-terrorism, marking a significant escalation from prior sanctions but falling short of full-scale ground invasion with occupation forces. International bodies like Amnesty International and the UN High Commissioner criticized the action as undermining sovereignty norms, though regional backlash remained muted. In recent weeks, the U.S. Treasury has eased Venezuela-related sanctions via General License 52 on March 23 and waivers for oil, petrochemicals, and fertilizer imports, aiming to lower domestic prices and reopen the Venezuelan embassy in Washington. No new military deployments or threats reported, with trader focus on diplomatic stabilization and oil sector reforms ahead of any potential resolution criteria.

The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on charges including narco-terrorism, marking a significant escalation from prior sanctions but falling short of full-scale ground invasion with occupation forces. International bodies like Amnesty International and the UN High Commissioner criticized the action as undermining sovereignty norms, though regional backlash remained muted. In recent weeks, the U.S. Treasury has eased Venezuela-related sanctions via General License 52 on March 23 and waivers for oil, petrochemicals, and fertilizer imports, aiming to lower domestic prices and reopen the Venezuelan embassy in Washington. No new military deployments or threats reported, with trader focus on diplomatic stabilization and oil sector reforms ahead of any potential resolution criteria.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on charges including narco-terrorism, marking a significant escalation from prior sanctions but falling short of full-scale ground invasion with occupation forces. International bodies like Amnesty International and the UN High Commissioner criticized the action as undermining sovereignty norms, though regional backlash remained muted. In recent weeks, the U.S. Treasury has eased Venezuela-related sanctions via General License 52 on March 23 and waivers for oil, petrochemicals, and fertilizer imports, aiming to lower domestic prices and reopen the Venezuelan embassy in Washington. No new military deployments or threats reported, with trader focus on diplomatic stabilization and oil sector reforms ahead of any potential resolution criteria.

The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on charges including narco-terrorism, marking a significant escalation from prior sanctions but falling short of full-scale ground invasion with occupation forces. International bodies like Amnesty International and the UN High Commissioner criticized the action as undermining sovereignty norms, though regional backlash remained muted. In recent weeks, the U.S. Treasury has eased Venezuela-related sanctions via General License 52 on March 23 and waivers for oil, petrochemicals, and fertilizer imports, aiming to lower domestic prices and reopen the Venezuelan embassy in Washington. No new military deployments or threats reported, with trader focus on diplomatic stabilization and oil sector reforms ahead of any potential resolution criteria.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „31. Dezember" mit 14%, gefolgt von „31. März" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 14¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 14% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $14.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 6, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?" ist „31. Dezember" mit 14%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 14% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. März" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Werden die USA in Venezuela einmarschieren, indem sie...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.