Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by March 31, reflecting the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or official announcements in recent months amid heightened regional tensions from the Israel-Hamas war. Expansion efforts, once focused on Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states like Oman or Qatar, stalled after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent Gaza conflict, which revived Palestinian statehood demands as a precondition for normalization. No primary statements from Arab leaders or Israeli officials indicate imminent deals, with the tight deadline leaving insufficient time for complex bilateral negotiations, summits, or treaty ratifications. While a surprise U.S.-brokered announcement or de-escalation in Gaza could shift odds, such scenarios remain remote given current stalemates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$202,296 Vol.
$202,296 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Ja
$202,296 Vol.
$202,296 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by March 31, reflecting the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or official announcements in recent months amid heightened regional tensions from the Israel-Hamas war. Expansion efforts, once focused on Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states like Oman or Qatar, stalled after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent Gaza conflict, which revived Palestinian statehood demands as a precondition for normalization. No primary statements from Arab leaders or Israeli officials indicate imminent deals, with the tight deadline leaving insufficient time for complex bilateral negotiations, summits, or treaty ratifications. While a surprise U.S.-brokered announcement or de-escalation in Gaza could shift odds, such scenarios remain remote given current stalemates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$202,296Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by March 31, reflecting the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or official announcements in recent months amid heightened regional tensions from the Israel-Hamas war. Expansion efforts, once focused on Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states like Oman or Qatar, stalled after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent Gaza conflict, which revived Palestinian statehood demands as a precondition for normalization. No primary statements from Arab leaders or Israeli officials indicate imminent deals, with the tight deadline leaving insufficient time for complex bilateral negotiations, summits, or treaty ratifications. While a surprise U.S.-brokered announcement or de-escalation in Gaza could shift odds, such scenarios remain remote given current stalemates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already apart of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$202,296Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no new country joining the Abraham Accords by March 31, reflecting the absence of any verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs or official announcements in recent months amid heightened regional tensions from the Israel-Hamas war. Expansion efforts, once focused on Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states like Oman or Qatar, stalled after the October 2023 Hamas attacks and subsequent Gaza conflict, which revived Palestinian statehood demands as a precondition for normalization. No primary statements from Arab leaders or Israeli officials indicate imminent deals, with the tight deadline leaving insufficient time for complex bilateral negotiations, summits, or treaty ratifications. While a surprise U.S.-brokered announcement or de-escalation in Gaza could shift odds, such scenarios remain remote given current stalemates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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