Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to any Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) self-certifying sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, primarily due to the CFTC's September 2024 final rule prohibiting such "gaming" event contracts on DCMs, with compliance required by early 2025. Key players like Kalshi, which successfully challenged CFTC restrictions on election contracts via court wins, face significant legal barriers but could test limits again. Recent catalysts include ongoing appeals in Kalshi's case and post-election shifts toward crypto-friendly CFTC leadership under the incoming administration. Traders watch for congressional bills reforming event contract rules or surprise self-certifications, though regulatory hurdles and delisting precedents keep odds suppressed amid high uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWelche DCMs zertifizieren Sportveranstaltungsverträge bis zum 31. März 2026 selbst?
Welche DCMs zertifizieren Sportveranstaltungsverträge bis zum 31. März 2026 selbst?
$146,575 Vol.

Railbird
37%

Small Exchange
34%

LedgerX
24%

ForecastEx
21%

CBOE
8%

Aristotle
10%

ICE
13%

The Clearing Company
5%
$146,575 Vol.

Railbird
37%

Small Exchange
34%

LedgerX
24%

ForecastEx
21%

CBOE
8%

Aristotle
10%

ICE
13%

The Clearing Company
5%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to any Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) self-certifying sports event contracts by March 31, 2026, primarily due to the CFTC's September 2024 final rule prohibiting such "gaming" event contracts on DCMs, with compliance required by early 2025. Key players like Kalshi, which successfully challenged CFTC restrictions on election contracts via court wins, face significant legal barriers but could test limits again. Recent catalysts include ongoing appeals in Kalshi's case and post-election shifts toward crypto-friendly CFTC leadership under the incoming administration. Traders watch for congressional bills reforming event contract rules or surprise self-certifications, though regulatory hurdles and delisting precedents keep odds suppressed amid high uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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