Polymarket traders resolved Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome at 100% implied probability following his April 2026 announcement to transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with hardware chief John Ternus succeeding amid AI hardware pressures and succession planning. Consensus now favors Sam Altman - OpenAI at 21% to exit before 2027, leading amid 2026's surge in tech CEO turnover—including Adobe and Spotify—fueled by over 128,000 layoffs, faltering artificial intelligence benchmarks, and competitive races with Google DeepMind and Anthropic. Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces crypto volatility, Andy Jassy (Amazon, 15%) cloud rivalry, Dan Clancy (Twitch, 10%) platform engagement woes, and Sundar Pichai (Google, 4%) benefits from stable leadership. Watch Q2 earnings calls and AI safety board maneuvers for swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
9%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
4%
$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
9%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
4%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders resolved Tim Cook's Apple CEO outcome at 100% implied probability following his April 2026 announcement to transition to executive chairman effective September 1, with hardware chief John Ternus succeeding amid AI hardware pressures and succession planning. Consensus now favors Sam Altman - OpenAI at 21% to exit before 2027, leading amid 2026's surge in tech CEO turnover—including Adobe and Spotify—fueled by over 128,000 layoffs, faltering artificial intelligence benchmarks, and competitive races with Google DeepMind and Anthropic. Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces crypto volatility, Andy Jassy (Amazon, 15%) cloud rivalry, Dan Clancy (Twitch, 10%) platform engagement woes, and Sundar Pichai (Google, 4%) benefits from stable leadership. Watch Q2 earnings calls and AI safety board maneuvers for swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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