Trader sentiment prices Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027 at a leading 29% implied probability, fueled by fresh executive turmoil—including three recent departures as the company hones its business focus amid intensifying competition from Anthropic—coupled with CFO pushback on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline, the abrupt cancellation of Sora video generation over sky-high compute costs, and broader AI cash-burn pressures. Tim Cook follows at 26% for Apple, undeterred by his early March affirmation of loving his role despite 15 years at the helm and persistent succession whispers around John Ternus. Stable odds for Andy Jassy (14%) and others reflect defended AI capex strategies; watch Q2 earnings and model releases for sentiment swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$593,704 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
26%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
25%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Sundar Pichai - Google
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
$593,704 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
26%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
25%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
13%

Sundar Pichai - Google
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment prices Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027 at a leading 29% implied probability, fueled by fresh executive turmoil—including three recent departures as the company hones its business focus amid intensifying competition from Anthropic—coupled with CFO pushback on an aggressive 2026 IPO timeline, the abrupt cancellation of Sora video generation over sky-high compute costs, and broader AI cash-burn pressures. Tim Cook follows at 26% for Apple, undeterred by his early March affirmation of loving his role despite 15 years at the helm and persistent succession whispers around John Ternus. Stable odds for Andy Jassy (14%) and others reflect defended AI capex strategies; watch Q2 earnings and model releases for sentiment swings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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