White House Special Envoy Steve Witkoff stated on March 27 that US-Iran meetings could occur this week amid indirect exchanges via mediators like Pakistan, following Tehran's rejection of a US 15-point peace proposal as "maximalist" on March 25. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed ongoing message-passing with some progress but no direct talks, as President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6 while emphasizing negotiation momentum despite Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisting no formal diplomacy exists. Amid US airstrikes and regional escalation, trader consensus reflects skepticism for imminent high-level diplomatic meetings—involving envoys like Witkoff, Kushner, or Vance with Iranian officials—pricing low short-term probabilities but higher for summer amid mounting war pressures and G7 summit discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDiplomatisches Treffen USA x Iran bis zum...?
Diplomatisches Treffen USA x Iran bis zum...?
$970,892 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
31. März
7%
10. April
19%
30. April
45%
30. Juni
80%
$970,892 Vol.
31. März
$616,623 Vol.
7%
10. April
$2,435 Vol.
19%
30. April
$89,874 Vol.
45%
30. Juni
$16,418 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.White House Special Envoy Steve Witkoff stated on March 27 that US-Iran meetings could occur this week amid indirect exchanges via mediators like Pakistan, following Tehran's rejection of a US 15-point peace proposal as "maximalist" on March 25. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed ongoing message-passing with some progress but no direct talks, as President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6 while emphasizing negotiation momentum despite Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisting no formal diplomacy exists. Amid US airstrikes and regional escalation, trader consensus reflects skepticism for imminent high-level diplomatic meetings—involving envoys like Witkoff, Kushner, or Vance with Iranian officials—pricing low short-term probabilities but higher for summer amid mounting war pressures and G7 summit discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volumen
$970,892Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.White House Special Envoy Steve Witkoff stated on March 27 that US-Iran meetings could occur this week amid indirect exchanges via mediators like Pakistan, following Tehran's rejection of a US 15-point peace proposal as "maximalist" on March 25. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed ongoing message-passing with some progress but no direct talks, as President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6 while emphasizing negotiation momentum despite Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisting no formal diplomacy exists. Amid US airstrikes and regional escalation, trader consensus reflects skepticism for imminent high-level diplomatic meetings—involving envoys like Witkoff, Kushner, or Vance with Iranian officials—pricing low short-term probabilities but higher for summer amid mounting war pressures and G7 summit discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$970,892Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...White House Special Envoy Steve Witkoff stated on March 27 that US-Iran meetings could occur this week amid indirect exchanges via mediators like Pakistan, following Tehran's rejection of a US 15-point peace proposal as "maximalist" on March 25. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed ongoing message-passing with some progress but no direct talks, as President Trump extended a Strait of Hormuz deadline to April 6 while emphasizing negotiation momentum despite Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisting no formal diplomacy exists. Amid US airstrikes and regional escalation, trader consensus reflects skepticism for imminent high-level diplomatic meetings—involving envoys like Witkoff, Kushner, or Vance with Iranian officials—pricing low short-term probabilities but higher for summer amid mounting war pressures and G7 summit discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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