US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 7%
February 2 5.0%
$1,209,616 Umsatz
$1,209,616 Umsatz
January 2026
$62,197 Umsatz
7%
January 2026
$62,197 Umsatz
7%
February 1
$83,557 Umsatz
8%
February 1
$83,557 Umsatz
8%
February 2
$41,041 Umsatz
5%
February 2
$41,041 Umsatz
5%
February 3
$35,072 Umsatz
2%
February 3
$35,072 Umsatz
2%
February 4
$42,090 Umsatz
3%
February 4
$42,090 Umsatz
3%
February 5
$33,830 Umsatz
2%
February 5
$33,830 Umsatz
2%
February 6
$52,409 Umsatz
4%
February 6
$52,409 Umsatz
4%
February 7
$31,679 Umsatz
5%
February 7
$31,679 Umsatz
5%
February 8
$31,930 Umsatz
3%
February 8
$31,930 Umsatz
3%
February 9
$33,876 Umsatz
2%
February 9
$33,876 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$31,727 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$31,727 Umsatz
2%
February 11
$28,415 Umsatz
2%
February 11
$28,415 Umsatz
2%
February 12
$32,169 Umsatz
1%
February 12
$32,169 Umsatz
1%
February 13
$30,549 Umsatz
2%
February 13
$30,549 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$39,684 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$39,684 Umsatz
2%
February 15
$38,050 Umsatz
1%
February 15
$38,050 Umsatz
1%
February 16
$36,272 Umsatz
1%
February 16
$36,272 Umsatz
1%
February 17
$39,068 Umsatz
1%
February 17
$39,068 Umsatz
1%
February 18
$36,952 Umsatz
1%
February 18
$36,952 Umsatz
1%
February 19
$34,457 Umsatz
1%
February 19
$34,457 Umsatz
1%
February 20
$33,884 Umsatz
1%
February 20
$33,884 Umsatz
1%
February 21
$37,656 Umsatz
2%
February 21
$37,656 Umsatz
2%
February 22
$39,376 Umsatz
1%
February 22
$39,376 Umsatz
1%
February 23
$43,060 Umsatz
1%
February 23
$43,060 Umsatz
1%
February 24
$39,657 Umsatz
1%
February 24
$39,657 Umsatz
1%
February 25
$42,012 Umsatz
1%
February 25
$42,012 Umsatz
1%
February 26
$40,308 Umsatz
1%
February 26
$40,308 Umsatz
1%
February 27
$47,101 Umsatz
2%
February 27
$47,101 Umsatz
2%
February 28
$45,772 Umsatz
2%
February 28
$45,772 Umsatz
2%
No strike by February 28
$45,785 Umsatz
41%
No strike by February 28
$45,785 Umsatz
41%
Regeln
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 7%
February 2 5.0%
$1,209,616 Umsatz
$1,209,616 Umsatz
January 2026
7%
February 1
8%
February 2
5%
February 3
2%
February 4
3%
February 5
2%
February 6
4%
February 7
5%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
41%
Über
Resolver
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