Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by final tallies confirming a $35 million 3-day gross for April 17-19 amid steady reporting from trade outlets like Variety and Deadline. This reflects a typical -50% drop from its $69 million second-frame haul, pressured by competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy's $13-34 million debut and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength, while building to a robust $355 million domestic cume in line with the franchise's proven family-animation legs. Realistic upsets would require rare upward revisions in studio finals—exceeding 20% boosts from estimates—but historical box office patterns make that improbable as the frame closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
<44 Mio. 100.0%
44-48 Mio. <1%
48-52 Mio. <1%
>52 Mio. <1%
$150,805 Vol.
$150,805 Vol.
<44 Mio.
Ja
44-48 Mio.
Nein
48-52 Mio.
Nein
>52 Mio.
Nein
<44 Mio. 100.0%
44-48 Mio. <1%
48-52 Mio. <1%
>52 Mio. <1%
$150,805 Vol.
$150,805 Vol.
<44 Mio.
Ja
44-48 Mio.
Nein
48-52 Mio.
Nein
>52 Mio.
Nein
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's third weekend domestic box office falling under $44 million, driven by final tallies confirming a $35 million 3-day gross for April 17-19 amid steady reporting from trade outlets like Variety and Deadline. This reflects a typical -50% drop from its $69 million second-frame haul, pressured by competition from Lee Cronin's The Mummy's $13-34 million debut and Project Hail Mary's holdover strength, while building to a robust $355 million domestic cume in line with the franchise's proven family-animation legs. Realistic upsets would require rare upward revisions in studio finals—exceeding 20% boosts from estimates—but historical box office patterns make that improbable as the frame closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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