Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
<40
Nein
40-64
Nein
65-89
Ja
90-114
Nein
115-139
Nein
140-164
Nein
165–189
Nein
190-214
Nein
215-239
Nein
240+
Nein
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 Vol.
$1,758,532 Vol.
18. Apr. 2026
<40
$219,309 Vol.
Nein
40-64
$227,964 Vol.
Nein
65-89
$299,100 Vol.
Ja
90-114
$368,062 Vol.
Nein
115-139
$267,777 Vol.
Nein
140-164
$139,452 Vol.
Nein
165–189
$68,265 Vol.
Nein
190-214
$77,479 Vol.
Nein
215-239
$35,132 Vol.
Nein
240+
$55,992 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,758,532Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,758,532Enddatum
18. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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