Trader consensus on Polymarket's Republican presidential nominee 2028 market prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49%, J.D. Vance at 39%, and Marco Rubio at 27%, driven primarily by Donald Trump's dominant 2024 victory and his enduring sway over GOP primary dynamics as a likely kingmaker ineligible for reelection. Kennedy's top odds reflect his high-profile Trump endorsement, independent campaign suspension, and rumors of a cabinet appointment like HHS secretary, aligning his anti-establishment vaccine stance with MAGA voters. Vance benefits from his VP role and Midwest appeal, while Rubio gains from Senate prominence and Florida donor ties. Recent post-election cabinet speculation and Trump transition announcements have lifted these leaders' implied probabilities, though odds remain volatile before 2026 midterms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJ.D. Vance 39.0%
Marco Rubio 26.6%
Tucker Carlson 3.4%
Ron DeSantis 3.0%
$433,781,708 Vol.
$433,781,708 Vol.

J.D. Vance
39%

Marco Rubio
27%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 39.0%
Marco Rubio 26.6%
Tucker Carlson 3.4%
Ron DeSantis 3.0%
$433,781,708 Vol.
$433,781,708 Vol.

J.D. Vance
39%

Marco Rubio
27%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Republican presidential nominee 2028 market prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49%, J.D. Vance at 39%, and Marco Rubio at 27%, driven primarily by Donald Trump's dominant 2024 victory and his enduring sway over GOP primary dynamics as a likely kingmaker ineligible for reelection. Kennedy's top odds reflect his high-profile Trump endorsement, independent campaign suspension, and rumors of a cabinet appointment like HHS secretary, aligning his anti-establishment vaccine stance with MAGA voters. Vance benefits from his VP role and Midwest appeal, while Rubio gains from Senate prominence and Florida donor ties. Recent post-election cabinet speculation and Trump transition announcements have lifted these leaders' implied probabilities, though odds remain volatile before 2026 midterms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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