This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reform UK wins more than 23% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by Reform UK, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.