Market icon

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Market icon

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

$1,749,824 Vol.

May 26, 2025
Polymarket

$1,749,824 Vol.

Polymarket

May 26

$51,334 Vol.

No

June 30

$372,220 Vol.

No

July 2

$102,713 Vol.

No

July 3

$404,335 Vol.

Yes

July 4

$277,738 Vol.

Yes

July 5

$97,624 Vol.

Yes

July 31

$334,277 Vol.

Yes

August 31

$109,584 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$1,749,824
Enddatum
May 26, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2025, 4:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Reconciliation bill passed by...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „July 3" mit 100%, gefolgt von „July 4" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Reconciliation bill passed by...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Reconciliation bill passed by...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Reconciliation bill passed by...?" ist „July 3" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „July 4" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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