Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-coin-flip 48.5% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $20 billion valuation from a September 2025 round—and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure deal fueling AI search expansion without liquidity needs. The 32.1% odds on a 50B–75B market cap reflect expectations of a valuation premium over current $20B private marks if listing occurs, driven by $200 million annual recurring revenue and projections to $656 million by year-end, though publisher copyright lawsuits from The New York Times and others introduce resolution risks. Model routing dependency on third-party large language models like Claude and GPT adds competitive fragility as providers integrate orchestration natively.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPerplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Perplexity IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 45%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
75–100 Mrd. $ 4.6%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<20 Mrd.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
3%
40–50 Mrd.
20%
50–75 Mrd.
30%
75–100 Mrd. $
5%
100B+
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
45%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 45%
40–50 Mrd. 16.8%
50–75 Mrd. 7.8%
75–100 Mrd. $ 4.6%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<20 Mrd.
$4,381 Vol.
3%
20–30 Mrd.
$5,711 Vol.
3%
30–40 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
3%
40–50 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
20%
50–75 Mrd.
$6,171 Vol.
30%
75–100 Mrd. $
$3,177 Vol.
5%
100B+
$0 Vol.
4%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$104,914 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-coin-flip 48.5% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $20 billion valuation from a September 2025 round—and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure deal fueling AI search expansion without liquidity needs. The 32.1% odds on a 50B–75B market cap reflect expectations of a valuation premium over current $20B private marks if listing occurs, driven by $200 million annual recurring revenue and projections to $656 million by year-end, though publisher copyright lawsuits from The New York Times and others introduce resolution risks. Model routing dependency on third-party large language models like Claude and GPT adds competitive fragility as providers integrate orchestration natively.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$124,354Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-coin-flip 48.5% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $20 billion valuation from a September 2025 round—and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure deal fueling AI search expansion without liquidity needs. The 32.1% odds on a 50B–75B market cap reflect expectations of a valuation premium over current $20B private marks if listing occurs, driven by $200 million annual recurring revenue and projections to $656 million by year-end, though publisher copyright lawsuits from The New York Times and others introduce resolution risks. Model routing dependency on third-party large language models like Claude and GPT adds competitive fragility as providers integrate orchestration natively.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$124,354Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-coin-flip 48.5% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, anchored by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term public listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $20 billion valuation from a September 2025 round—and a January 2026 $750 million Microsoft Azure deal fueling AI search expansion without liquidity needs. The 32.1% odds on a 50B–75B market cap reflect expectations of a valuation premium over current $20B private marks if listing occurs, driven by $200 million annual recurring revenue and projections to $656 million by year-end, though publisher copyright lawsuits from The New York Times and others introduce resolution risks. Model routing dependency on third-party large language models like Claude and GPT adds competitive fragility as providers integrate orchestration natively.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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