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Oscar Best Picture Nominees

$665,618 Vol.

Jan 17, 2025
Polymarket

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Emilia Perez" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$665,618
Enddatum
Jan 23, 2025
Erstellt am
Dec 11, 2024, 2:15 PM ET
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards nominees are set to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Emilia Perez" secures a nomination for the Academy Award for Best Picture. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominees are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscar Best Picture Nominees" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nickel Boys" at 100%, followed by "A Complete Unknown" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" has generated $665.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscar Best Picture Nominees," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" is "Nickel Boys" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Complete Unknown" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Oscar Best Picture Nominees

$665,618 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Nickel Boys

$76,241 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

The Seed of the Sacred Fig

$7,273 Vol.

No

Market icon

A Complete Unknown

$50,875 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Emilia Perez

$77,872 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Gladiator 2

$33,053 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sing Sing

$51,117 Vol.

No

Market icon

A Different Man

$20,888 Vol.

No

Market icon

The Substance

$153,680 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

September 5

$40,789 Vol.

No

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A Real Pain

$64,002 Vol.

No

Market icon

Blitz

$24,526 Vol.

No

Market icon

Nosferatu

$24,794 Vol.

No

Market icon

The Piano Lesson

$8,037 Vol.

No

Market icon

Challengers

$32,472 Vol.

No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscar Best Picture Nominees" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nickel Boys" at 100%, followed by "A Complete Unknown" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" has generated $665.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscar Best Picture Nominees," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" is "Nickel Boys" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Complete Unknown" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscar Best Picture Nominees" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.