Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit creates an open race ahead of the June 9 primaries, yet trader consensus implies a 90% chance for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, driven by Maine's partisan lean favoring Democrats—who control the legislature—and historical trends with no Republican gubernatorial victory since 2014. Recent Pan Atlantic polling (early March) shows fragmented Republican support, with Bobby Charles at 26% amid 44% unfamiliarity and eight candidates, underscored by their March 25 debate exposing divisions. Democrats exhibit more consolidated fields, with Nirav Shah leading recent surveys at 25-31% alongside contenders like Angus King III at 24%. High GOP primary undecideds signal nominee vulnerabilities in the battleground state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
90%
Republikaner
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$0 Vol.
90%
Republikaner
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit creates an open race ahead of the June 9 primaries, yet trader consensus implies a 90% chance for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, driven by Maine's partisan lean favoring Democrats—who control the legislature—and historical trends with no Republican gubernatorial victory since 2014. Recent Pan Atlantic polling (early March) shows fragmented Republican support, with Bobby Charles at 26% amid 44% unfamiliarity and eight candidates, underscored by their March 25 debate exposing divisions. Democrats exhibit more consolidated fields, with Nirav Shah leading recent surveys at 25-31% alongside contenders like Angus King III at 24%. High GOP primary undecideds signal nominee vulnerabilities in the battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit creates an open race ahead of the June 9 primaries, yet trader consensus implies a 90% chance for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, driven by Maine's partisan lean favoring Democrats—who control the legislature—and historical trends with no Republican gubernatorial victory since 2014. Recent Pan Atlantic polling (early March) shows fragmented Republican support, with Bobby Charles at 26% amid 44% unfamiliarity and eight candidates, underscored by their March 25 debate exposing divisions. Democrats exhibit more consolidated fields, with Nirav Shah leading recent surveys at 25-31% alongside contenders like Angus King III at 24%. High GOP primary undecideds signal nominee vulnerabilities in the battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills' term limit creates an open race ahead of the June 9 primaries, yet trader consensus implies a 90% chance for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, driven by Maine's partisan lean favoring Democrats—who control the legislature—and historical trends with no Republican gubernatorial victory since 2014. Recent Pan Atlantic polling (early March) shows fragmented Republican support, with Bobby Charles at 26% amid 44% unfamiliarity and eight candidates, underscored by their March 25 debate exposing divisions. Democrats exhibit more consolidated fields, with Nirav Shah leading recent surveys at 25-31% alongside contenders like Angus King III at 24%. High GOP primary undecideds signal nominee vulnerabilities in the battleground state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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