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Politik·Kultur

Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

Market icon
Politik·Kultur

Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$30,647 Vol.

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$30,647 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$30,647
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$30,647
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $30.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.