Iran-backed disruptions to global shipping persist amid the US-Iran war, with Iranian forces blockading much of the Strait of Hormuz since late February and launching verified attacks like the March 11 projectiles on three cargo ships, igniting one and injuring crew. Yesterday, European officials revealed Iran urging Yemen's Houthis to resume Red Sea strikes—via Bab el-Mandeb—should US escalation continue, following the group's March 28 missile barrage on Israel that stoked fears of dual chokepoint closures. Houthis declared war entry, vowing to target US and Israeli vessels. Traders monitor US military responses, Houthi internal debates, and oil market volatility, with no imminent ceasefire talks announced.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIran zielt erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
Iran zielt erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
$112,179 Vol.
31. März 2026
March 29
1%
March 30
94%
March 31
30%
$112,179 Vol.
March 29
$9,272 Vol.
1%
March 30
$18,148 Vol.
94%
March 31
$3,779 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.Iran-backed disruptions to global shipping persist amid the US-Iran war, with Iranian forces blockading much of the Strait of Hormuz since late February and launching verified attacks like the March 11 projectiles on three cargo ships, igniting one and injuring crew. Yesterday, European officials revealed Iran urging Yemen's Houthis to resume Red Sea strikes—via Bab el-Mandeb—should US escalation continue, following the group's March 28 missile barrage on Israel that stoked fears of dual chokepoint closures. Houthis declared war entry, vowing to target US and Israeli vessels. Traders monitor US military responses, Houthi internal debates, and oil market volatility, with no imminent ceasefire talks announced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$112,179Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.Iran-backed disruptions to global shipping persist amid the US-Iran war, with Iranian forces blockading much of the Strait of Hormuz since late February and launching verified attacks like the March 11 projectiles on three cargo ships, igniting one and injuring crew. Yesterday, European officials revealed Iran urging Yemen's Houthis to resume Red Sea strikes—via Bab el-Mandeb—should US escalation continue, following the group's March 28 missile barrage on Israel that stoked fears of dual chokepoint closures. Houthis declared war entry, vowing to target US and Israeli vessels. Traders monitor US military responses, Houthi internal debates, and oil market volatility, with no imminent ceasefire talks announced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$112,179Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran-backed disruptions to global shipping persist amid the US-Iran war, with Iranian forces blockading much of the Strait of Hormuz since late February and launching verified attacks like the March 11 projectiles on three cargo ships, igniting one and injuring crew. Yesterday, European officials revealed Iran urging Yemen's Houthis to resume Red Sea strikes—via Bab el-Mandeb—should US escalation continue, following the group's March 28 missile barrage on Israel that stoked fears of dual chokepoint closures. Houthis declared war entry, vowing to target US and Israeli vessels. Traders monitor US military responses, Houthi internal debates, and oil market volatility, with no imminent ceasefire talks announced.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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