Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, launched multiple drone and missile attacks on Red Sea shipping in the past week, sinking one vessel and prompting defensive intercepts by US and UK naval forces amid ongoing airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen. Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage on Israel—its largest ever—and Israel's October 26 retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites have escalated regional tensions, with Tehran warning of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz if provoked further. No verified direct Iranian targeting of commercial shipping has occurred recently, but proxy actions sustain trader focus on potential Hormuz closure or naval escalation, alongside US-led coalition patrols and diplomatic pushes for de-escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertIran zielt erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
Iran zielt erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
$79,783 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 25
1%
March 26
3%
March 27
5%
March 28
5%
March 29
9%
March 30
9%
March 31
2%
$79,783 Vol.
March 25
$30,543 Vol.
1%
March 26
$5,576 Vol.
3%
March 27
$13,777 Vol.
5%
March 28
$6,191 Vol.
5%
March 29
$7,165 Vol.
9%
March 30
$7,924 Vol.
9%
March 31
$684 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, launched multiple drone and missile attacks on Red Sea shipping in the past week, sinking one vessel and prompting defensive intercepts by US and UK naval forces amid ongoing airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen. Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage on Israel—its largest ever—and Israel's October 26 retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites have escalated regional tensions, with Tehran warning of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz if provoked further. No verified direct Iranian targeting of commercial shipping has occurred recently, but proxy actions sustain trader focus on potential Hormuz closure or naval escalation, alongside US-led coalition patrols and diplomatic pushes for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$79,783Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, launched multiple drone and missile attacks on Red Sea shipping in the past week, sinking one vessel and prompting defensive intercepts by US and UK naval forces amid ongoing airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen. Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage on Israel—its largest ever—and Israel's October 26 retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites have escalated regional tensions, with Tehran warning of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz if provoked further. No verified direct Iranian targeting of commercial shipping has occurred recently, but proxy actions sustain trader focus on potential Hormuz closure or naval escalation, alongside US-led coalition patrols and diplomatic pushes for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying incident cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the second calendar date after the specified date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$79,783Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 17, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, launched multiple drone and missile attacks on Red Sea shipping in the past week, sinking one vessel and prompting defensive intercepts by US and UK naval forces amid ongoing airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen. Iran's October 1 ballistic missile barrage on Israel—its largest ever—and Israel's October 26 retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites have escalated regional tensions, with Tehran warning of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz if provoked further. No verified direct Iranian targeting of commercial shipping has occurred recently, but proxy actions sustain trader focus on potential Hormuz closure or naval escalation, alongside US-led coalition patrols and diplomatic pushes for de-escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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