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Politik·Israel

Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?

Market icon
Politik·Israel

Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$189,841 Vol.

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$189,841 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.

Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$189,841
Enddatum
14. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2025, 3:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.

Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$189,841
Enddatum
14. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2025, 3:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? " ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? " ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $189.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? " zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? " liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? " definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.