Trader consensus prices a handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 40% for the anticipated first post-inauguration meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, drawing from precedent in their prior summits like the 2017 Mar-a-Lago encounter where extended greetings highlighted personal diplomacy amid trade talks. Following Trump's November election victory, Xi's prompt congratulatory message and Trump's public overtures for potential deals have elevated expectations for bilateral engagement, despite escalating rhetoric on tariffs and Taiwan. No summit is scheduled, but standard diplomatic protocol keeps no-handshake odds low at 6%, while shorter durations reflect Xi's formal reserve contrasting Trump's firm style. Upcoming foreign summits like G20 could trigger the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert15s+ 40%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6 s 11%
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kein Händedruck
5%
<2s
3%
2–6 s
11%
6–10s
21%
10–15s
20%
15s+
40%
Nur fotografiert
2%
15s+ 40%
6–10s 21%
10–15s 20%
2–6 s 11%
$39,667 Vol.
$39,667 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kein Händedruck
$8,990 Vol.
5%
<2s
$4,750 Vol.
3%
2–6 s
$8,659 Vol.
11%
6–10s
$3,198 Vol.
21%
10–15s
$0 Vol.
20%
15s+
$5,268 Vol.
40%
Nur fotografiert
$8,802 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus prices a handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 40% for the anticipated first post-inauguration meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, drawing from precedent in their prior summits like the 2017 Mar-a-Lago encounter where extended greetings highlighted personal diplomacy amid trade talks. Following Trump's November election victory, Xi's prompt congratulatory message and Trump's public overtures for potential deals have elevated expectations for bilateral engagement, despite escalating rhetoric on tariffs and Taiwan. No summit is scheduled, but standard diplomatic protocol keeps no-handshake odds low at 6%, while shorter durations reflect Xi's formal reserve contrasting Trump's firm style. Upcoming foreign summits like G20 could trigger the event.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volumen
$39,667Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus prices a handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 40% for the anticipated first post-inauguration meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, drawing from precedent in their prior summits like the 2017 Mar-a-Lago encounter where extended greetings highlighted personal diplomacy amid trade talks. Following Trump's November election victory, Xi's prompt congratulatory message and Trump's public overtures for potential deals have elevated expectations for bilateral engagement, despite escalating rhetoric on tariffs and Taiwan. No summit is scheduled, but standard diplomatic protocol keeps no-handshake odds low at 6%, while shorter durations reflect Xi's formal reserve contrasting Trump's firm style. Upcoming foreign summits like G20 could trigger the event.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Volumen
$39,667Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a handshake exceeding 15 seconds at 40% for the anticipated first post-inauguration meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, drawing from precedent in their prior summits like the 2017 Mar-a-Lago encounter where extended greetings highlighted personal diplomacy amid trade talks. Following Trump's November election victory, Xi's prompt congratulatory message and Trump's public overtures for potential deals have elevated expectations for bilateral engagement, despite escalating rhetoric on tariffs and Taiwan. No summit is scheduled, but standard diplomatic protocol keeps no-handshake odds low at 6%, while shorter durations reflect Xi's formal reserve contrasting Trump's firm style. Upcoming foreign summits like G20 could trigger the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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