Météo-France's latest forecast, updated yesterday, projects a maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris today under persistent overcast skies and a cool, stable air mass from the northwest, driving the market's 96.5% implied probability for this outcome and strong trader consensus backed by real capital. High-resolution AROME model runs and ensemble consensus from ECMWF and GFS confirm limited daytime heating, with current afternoon observations at Paris-Montsouris station hovering around 12–13°C amid light southwest winds and early April's low solar angle. Historical early-April highs average 14°C, but thick cloud decks suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for a brief 14°C surge, though model uncertainty ranges remain narrow; final hourly data releases this evening will solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 3?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 3?
13°C 98.8%
14°C 2.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$178,963 Vol.
$178,963 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 98.8%
14°C 2.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$178,963 Vol.
$178,963 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecast, updated yesterday, projects a maximum temperature of 13°C in Paris today under persistent overcast skies and a cool, stable air mass from the northwest, driving the market's 96.5% implied probability for this outcome and strong trader consensus backed by real capital. High-resolution AROME model runs and ensemble consensus from ECMWF and GFS confirm limited daytime heating, with current afternoon observations at Paris-Montsouris station hovering around 12–13°C amid light southwest winds and early April's low solar angle. Historical early-April highs average 14°C, but thick cloud decks suppress peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for a brief 14°C surge, though model uncertainty ranges remain narrow; final hourly data releases this evening will solidify resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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