Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 21–25°C under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward this range with 46% market-implied odds for 25°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 24°C. Ongoing weather fronts crossing northern Taiwan since April 4 have introduced moisture and instability, capping solar heating while allowing potential peaks near the upper forecast bound if showers dissipate midday. Historical early-April highs average around 24°C, but frontal influences often introduce variability; model consensus reflects this uncertainty, with outcomes hinging on cloud cover evolution. Traders await CWA's next update tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 7?
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 36%
22°C 15%
21°C 13.0%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
45%
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 36%
22°C 15%
21°C 13.0%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 7 at 21–25°C under cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward this range with 46% market-implied odds for 25°C or higher and 32.5% for exactly 24°C. Ongoing weather fronts crossing northern Taiwan since April 4 have introduced moisture and instability, capping solar heating while allowing potential peaks near the upper forecast bound if showers dissipate midday. Historical early-April highs average around 24°C, but frontal influences often introduce variability; model consensus reflects this uncertainty, with outcomes hinging on cloud cover evolution. Traders await CWA's next update tomorrow for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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