Latest Met Office updates, refreshed April 5, forecast a high of 22°C in London on April 8 under largely sunny skies and light easterly winds up to 17mph gusts, fueling trader-implied probabilities clustered at 21-23°C after Storm Dave's recent clearance brought drier high-pressure conditions. This above-average warmth—exceeding the early April climatological norm of 13-14°C—stems from southerly airflow advecting continental air and strong midday insolation with minimal cloud interference. Close odds reflect ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 1-2°C, hinging on afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 21°C versus clearer skies pushing 23°C, plus London's urban heat island effect at the resolving London City Airport station. New model runs and Met Office bulletins through April 7 will refine these uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 8?
Highest temperature in London on April 8?
22°C 27%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 13%
$10,327 Vol.
$10,327 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
7%
22°C 27%
21°C 26%
23°C 25%
20°C 13%
$10,327 Vol.
$10,327 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office updates, refreshed April 5, forecast a high of 22°C in London on April 8 under largely sunny skies and light easterly winds up to 17mph gusts, fueling trader-implied probabilities clustered at 21-23°C after Storm Dave's recent clearance brought drier high-pressure conditions. This above-average warmth—exceeding the early April climatological norm of 13-14°C—stems from southerly airflow advecting continental air and strong midday insolation with minimal cloud interference. Close odds reflect ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 1-2°C, hinging on afternoon cloud development capping peaks at 21°C versus clearer skies pushing 23°C, plus London's urban heat island effect at the resolving London City Airport station. New model runs and Met Office bulletins through April 7 will refine these uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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