Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project the highest temperature at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 5 clustering around 13-15°C, fueling trader consensus with 14°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C amid model spread. This tight race reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover under a weak northerly flow steering cooler Atlantic air masses, with some runs showing partial clearing for brief peaks to 16°C while others predict persistent overcast limiting highs to 13°C. Early April climatology supports these levels, with historical averages near 14°C, though recent Météo-France updates note rising pressures potentially boosting insolation. Watch tomorrow's 12z model runs and agency bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 5. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 5. April?
14°C 34%
15°C 27%
13°C 21%
16°C 16%
10°C oder darunter
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
21%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
16%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
1%
14°C 34%
15°C 27%
13°C 21%
16°C 16%
10°C oder darunter
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
21%
14°C
34%
15°C
27%
16°C
16%
17°C
5%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project the highest temperature at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport on April 5 clustering around 13-15°C, fueling trader consensus with 14°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C and 13°C amid model spread. This tight race reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover under a weak northerly flow steering cooler Atlantic air masses, with some runs showing partial clearing for brief peaks to 16°C while others predict persistent overcast limiting highs to 13°C. Early April climatology supports these levels, with historical averages near 14°C, though recent Météo-France updates note rising pressures potentially boosting insolation. Watch tomorrow's 12z model runs and agency bulletins for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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