Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's short-range temperature forecast, with 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C each at 19.5% implied probability amid BMKG's latest outlook projecting highs of 29-30°C on April 6 under hazy to partly cloudy skies across districts like Jakarta Timur and Selatan. This divergence stems from the city's tropical monsoon transition—early dry season onset per BMKG—favoring potential sea breeze moderation and cloud-induced suppression, countered by urban heat island effects amplifying peaks beyond model guidance. Historical April averages hover near 32°C, with low-confidence ensemble forecasts sensitive to convective activity; watch BMKG's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 22%
33°C 22%
34°C 12%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's short-range temperature forecast, with 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C each at 19.5% implied probability amid BMKG's latest outlook projecting highs of 29-30°C on April 6 under hazy to partly cloudy skies across districts like Jakarta Timur and Selatan. This divergence stems from the city's tropical monsoon transition—early dry season onset per BMKG—favoring potential sea breeze moderation and cloud-induced suppression, countered by urban heat island effects amplifying peaks beyond model guidance. Historical April averages hover near 32°C, with low-confidence ensemble forecasts sensitive to convective activity; watch BMKG's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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