The closely matched trader consensus around 46-55°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 8 reflects ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, projecting peaks near 50°F under a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air into the Northeast. Differentiating factors include model spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential weak frontal timing, which could shift highs by 2-4°F amid inherent springtime variability. This setup runs below Central Park's 57°F climatological normal, with no major developments in the past week altering the pattern. Daily National Weather Service updates through April 7 will provide critical refinements ahead of resolution at the official observing station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on April 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 8?
48-49°F 21.7%
50-51°F 20%
46-47°F 18.4%
52-53°F 15%
NEU
NEU
8. Apr. 2026
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
22%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
12%
56°F or higher
7%
48-49°F 21.7%
50-51°F 20%
46-47°F 18.4%
52-53°F 15%
NEU
NEU
8. Apr. 2026
37°F or below
$707 Vol.
1%
38-39°F
$20 Vol.
2%
40-41°F
$0 Vol.
2%
42-43°F
$6 Vol.
2%
44-45°F
$21 Vol.
9%
46-47°F
$74 Vol.
18%
48-49°F
$16 Vol.
22%
50-51°F
$75 Vol.
20%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
15%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
12%
56°F or higher
$481 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched trader consensus around 46-55°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 8 reflects ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, projecting peaks near 50°F under a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air into the Northeast. Differentiating factors include model spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential weak frontal timing, which could shift highs by 2-4°F amid inherent springtime variability. This setup runs below Central Park's 57°F climatological normal, with no major developments in the past week altering the pattern. Daily National Weather Service updates through April 7 will provide critical refinements ahead of resolution at the official observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$1,405Enddatum
8. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched trader consensus around 46-55°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 8 reflects ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, projecting peaks near 50°F under a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air into the Northeast. Differentiating factors include model spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential weak frontal timing, which could shift highs by 2-4°F amid inherent springtime variability. This setup runs below Central Park's 57°F climatological normal, with no major developments in the past week altering the pattern. Daily National Weather Service updates through April 7 will provide critical refinements ahead of resolution at the official observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,405Enddatum
8. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around 46-55°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 8 reflects ensemble guidance from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF models, projecting peaks near 50°F under a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air into the Northeast. Differentiating factors include model spreads in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential weak frontal timing, which could shift highs by 2-4°F amid inherent springtime variability. This setup runs below Central Park's 57°F climatological normal, with no major developments in the past week altering the pattern. Daily National Weather Service updates through April 7 will provide critical refinements ahead of resolution at the official observing station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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