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Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 5

56-57°F 21%

54-55°F 17%

52-53°F 14%

58-59°F 12%

Polymarket
NEU

56-57°F 21%

54-55°F 17%

52-53°F 14%

58-59°F 12%

Polymarket
NEU

47°F or below

$28 Vol.

7%

48-49°F

$10 Vol.

10%

50-51°F

$10 Vol.

11%

52-53°F

$10 Vol.

14%

54-55°F

$15 Vol.

17%

56-57°F

$10 Vol.

21%

58-59°F

$10 Vol.

12%

60-61°F

$20 Vol.

11%

62-63°F

$10 Vol.

8%

64-65°F

$10 Vol.

8%

66°F or higher

$120 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC's April 6 high temperature in a tight mid-50s°F cluster—56-57°F at 26.5% implied probability leading 54-55°F at 24.0%—mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 55-56°F. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs depicting a weak cold frontal boundary stalling over the Northeast, fostering increased cloud cover and capping diurnal heating, against climatological normals of 56°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include the front's precise timing and strength: an earlier surge boosts chances for 52-55°F via persistent overcast skies, while southward lag enables brief sunny breaks pushing toward 58-61°F. New 12Z forecasts expected today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$253
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NYC's April 6 high temperature in a tight mid-50s°F cluster—56-57°F at 26.5% implied probability leading 54-55°F at 24.0%—mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 55-56°F. This positioning stems from recent 00Z model runs depicting a weak cold frontal boundary stalling over the Northeast, fostering increased cloud cover and capping diurnal heating, against climatological normals of 56°F at Central Park. Differentiating factors include the front's precise timing and strength: an earlier surge boosts chances for 52-55°F via persistent overcast skies, while southward lag enables brief sunny breaks pushing toward 58-61°F. New 12Z forecasts expected today may sharpen resolution amid inherent spring volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$253
Enddatum
6. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „56-57°F" mit 21%, gefolgt von „54-55°F" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 21¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 21% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?" ist „56-57°F" mit 21%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 21% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „54-55°F" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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