MetService's latest forecast, issued April 3, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 5 at 19°C amid partly cloudy conditions, a chance of afternoon showers, and northerlies turning southeasterly. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (33.5% implied probability) and 19°C (28.5%), reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak heating, with 17°C and 20°C viable amid variable wind patterns. These align near historical April averages of 17–18°C, per NIWA climatology, during neutral ENSO conditions favoring average autumn temperatures. New observational data and forecast refinements expected April 4 could shift probabilities as short-range guidance sharpens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 33%
19°C 29%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
$11,688 Vol.
$11,688 Vol.
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
33%
19°C
29%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
7%
18°C 33%
19°C 29%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
$11,688 Vol.
$11,688 Vol.
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
33%
19°C
29%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 3, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 5 at 19°C amid partly cloudy conditions, a chance of afternoon showers, and northerlies turning southeasterly. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18°C (33.5% implied probability) and 19°C (28.5%), reflecting model uncertainty over cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak heating, with 17°C and 20°C viable amid variable wind patterns. These align near historical April averages of 17–18°C, per NIWA climatology, during neutral ENSO conditions favoring average autumn temperatures. New observational data and forecast refinements expected April 4 could shift probabilities as short-range guidance sharpens.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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